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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
SYNOPSIS... Heavy lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie will
continue this morning, then break up into more widespread, but weaker
multiple bands of snow showers this afternoon through tonight south of the
lakes as winds turn northerly. A very cold airmass and a breeze will
produce wind chills near or a little below zero at times through Monday
morning. Another clipper system will then cross the eastern Great Lakes
Monday through early Tuesday, with another period of lake enhanced snow
east of the lakes with additional accumulations, heaviest east of Lake
Ontario. Lake effect snow will end on Tuesday, and this will be followed by
a notable warming trend through the middle of the week. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays low wind chill of -5.6°F broke the monthly low of -1.3°F set on 12/05/2025 by -4.3°
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 7:14am  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

8.9°F

Trend:Colder 0.3°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   -1°F
Humidex   0.8°F
24 Hour +/- -17.8°FColder 17.8°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
17.3°F
12:00 AM
Today Low
8.9°F
6:33 AM
Yest.High
29.4°F
10:21 AM
Yest.Low
16.5°F
11:26 PM
Last Year High
31.5°F
Last Year Low
9.6°F
Station Record High*
72.2°F
2015
Station Record Low*
5.0°F
2017
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy

Wind from WNW WNW  
5.7
Gusting to:
5.0
Light Breeze
Current Snow Total Snowfall Today3:
0.00 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-2.2 of 100
Today

Today: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Monday

Monday: Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Hi 21 °F Lo 13 °F Hi 27 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 0.4°F since last hour. 4.8°F
Last Hour: Decreased 0.4°F since last hour. 0.4°F
High 12:27 AM: 10.8°F
Low 6:33 AM: 4.8°F
Record High: 82.4°F on
Jun-19-2024
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 8.1°F
Rain Today: 0.00 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.15 in
Dec Rain: 0.25 in
Dec to Date
  Average:10
0.90 in
Dec to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Under 0.65 in for the month 0.65 in
Dec Avg: 2.21 in
+/- from Avg: Under 1.963 in for the month 1.96 in
2025 Total: 27.09 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
34.20 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Under 7.11 in for the year 7.11 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Dec-12-2025
at 11:35 AM
155 rain days in 2025
6 days in December
1 day since last rain

rain graph

Current: WNW  5.7 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 5.0 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 6.0 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 6.2 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 4.5 mph
Todays Wind Run: 34.79 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 5.0 mph
High Last Hour: 14.0 mph WNW
Todays High: 15.0 mph 12:39 AM
December High: 31.1 mph Dec-4
2025 High: 50.1 mph Jan-27
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
9 hrs 1 min
9 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is 33 sec shorter than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waning Crescent
Waning Crescent, 24 days, 5 hours, 27 minutes in cycle
26%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 0.8°F
Humidity: No Change 83%
Last Hour +/-: No Change 0%
High 5:14 AM: 83%
Low 12:00 AM: 75%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Rising 0.9  mb/hr 1020.4 mb
Last Hour: Rising slowly
High 7:13 AM: 1020.4
Low 12:12 AM: 1016.8
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 14.5
Dec: 541.1
2025 to Date: 5834.3
Cooling Degree Days
2025 to Date: 692.2
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Dec Snow: Under 5.551 in for the month 0.00 in
Dec Avg: 5.55 in
Diff from Avg: -5.55 in
Season Total:2 6.80 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in December
2 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: -0.9°F
Low 7:07 AM: -5.5°F
Yesterday: 5.5°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

30


Good
Density:
1.36 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Dec-14

0.9
Dec-15

1.1
Dec-16

1.1
Sunrise is at: 7:38 am
Solar Noon: 12:09
Sunset is at: 4:40 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Early Morning
YTD Avg Temp: 49.8°F
Sunrise: 7:38 am
Sunset: 4:40 pm
Moonrise: 2:32 am
Moonset: 1:15 pm
Full Moon: Dec-04-2025
New Moon: 01:44 UTC
Dec-20-2025
Cloud Height: 1545 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.1°F
Jul-08-2020
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:13 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 14 of just the month of December for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 14 of Decemberfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook Today & Tonight
Today

Today: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely

Hi 21 °F
NWS forecast: Snow showers likely after 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 21. Wind chill values as low as -5. West wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers

Lo 13 °F
NWS forecast: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. West wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Monday

Monday: Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Hi 27 °F Lo 13 °F Hi 34 °F Lo 28 °F Hi 39 °F Lo 24 °F Hi 46 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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