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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
398 FXUS61 KBUF 040833 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 433 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased winds and gusts a bit further for today, particularly across
areas northeast of Lake Erie. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays low barometer of 1005.4 mb broke the monthly low of 1007.8 mb set on 05/03/2026 by -2.4 mb
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 6:41am  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

51.9°F

Trend:Warmer 0.5°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   51°F
Humidex   50.6°F
24 Hour +/- 22.5°FWarmer 22.5°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
54.0°F
12:18 AM
Today Low
48.8°F
3:37 AM
Yest.High
56.6°F
2:43 PM
Yest.Low
27.9°F
5:55 AM
Last Year High
55.9°F
Last Year Low
45.0°F
Station Record High*
80.1°F
2015
Station Record Low*
37.2°F
2016
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Overcast Overcast

Wind from WSW WSW  
4.8
Gusting to:
6.0
Light Breeze
Current Rain Total Rainfall Today:
0.00 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
4.7 of 100
Overnight

Overnight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers
Monday

Monday: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Lo 48 °F Hi 71 °F Lo 54 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Increased 0.4°F since last hour. 40.9°F
Last Hour: Increased 0.4°F since last hour. 0.4°F
High 3:05 AM: 43.0°F
Low 12:28 AM: 39.7°F
Record High: 82.4°F on
Jun-19-2024
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 46.9°F
Today: 0.00 in
Storm Rain: 0.02 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.03 in
Yesterday: 0.03 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.78 in
May Rain: 0.08 in
May to Date
  Average:10
0.54 in
May to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Under 0.46 in for the month 0.46 in
May Avg: 3.14 in
+/- from Avg: Under 3.062 in for the month 3.06 in
2025 Total: 14.51 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
9.79 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Over 4.72 in for the year 4.72 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
May-3-2026
at 7:18 PM
69 rain days in 2026
2 days in May
0 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: WSW  4.8 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 3.8 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 5.5 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 5.3 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 5.7 mph
Todays Wind Run: 36.42 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 6.0 mph
High Last Hour: 15.0 mph SW
Todays High: 23.0 mph 12:31 AM
May High: 24.0 mph May-3
2025 High: 43.0 mph Mar-14
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
14 hrs 15 min
46 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 29 sec longer than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waning Gibbous
Waning Gibbous, 16 days, 22 hours, 50 minutes in cycle
93%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 50.6°F
Humidity: No Change 66%
Last Hour +/-: No Change 0%
High 3:05 AM: 78%
Low 12:00 AM: 59%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Rising 0.2  mb/hr 1005.8 mb
Last Hour: Steady
High 12:00 AM: 1008.1
Low 5:42 AM: 1005.4
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 3.6
May: 69.8
2026 to Date: 3842.6
Cooling Degree Days
2026 to Date: 0.4
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
May Snow: No Change 0.00 in
May Avg: 0.00 in
Diff from Avg: 0.00 in
Season Total:2 17.30 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in May
3 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 50.6°F
Low 3:50 AM: 45.6°F
Yesterday: 27.9°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

44


Good
Density:
1.23 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
May-04

5.8
May-05

5.9
May-06

5.8
Sunrise is at: 6:04 am
Solar Noon: 13:11
Sunset is at: 8:18 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Early Morning
YTD Avg Temp: 33.8°F
Sunrise: 6:04 am
Sunset: 8:18 pm
Moonrise: 10:56 pm
Moonset: 7:17 am
Full Moon: May-01-2026
New Moon: 20:02 UTC
May-16-2026
Cloud Height: 3123 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.1°F
Jul-08-2020
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:18 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Monday

Monday: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 4 of just the month of May for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 4 of Mayfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook Overnight & Monday
Overnight

Overnight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Lo 48 °F
NWS forecast: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday

Monday: Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny

Hi 71 °F
NWS forecast: A chance of rain showers before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Southwest wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Tuesday

Tuesday: Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms then Rain
Showers And T-Storms then Rain
Wednesday

Wednesday: Light Rain then Chance Rain Showers
Light Rain then Chance Rain Showers
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Lo 54 °F Hi 64 °F Lo 41 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 53 °F Lo 37 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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