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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
016 FXUS61 KBUF 041723 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 1223 PM EST Wed Feb 4 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Minor
changes to lake effect location and snowfall amounts south of Lake Ontario
through Thursday morning for ongoing limited lake effect snow. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays high barometer of 1027.8 mb broke the monthly high of 1023.3 mb set on 02/02/2026 by 4.5 mb
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 4:30pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

22.1°F

Trend:Colder 0.3°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   16°F
Humidex   15.0°F
24 Hour +/- -2.6°FColder 2.6°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
22.7°F
12:41 PM
Today Low
8.0°F
7:51 AM
Yest.High
28.2°F
11:41 AM
Yest.Low
15.7°F
11:58 PM
Last Year High
31.9°F
Last Year Low
19.0°F
Station Record High*
60.5°F
2019
Station Record Low*
4.4°F
2023
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Clear Clear

Wind from WNW WNW  
4.7
Gusting to:
3.0
Light Breeze
Current Snow Total Snowfall Today3:
0.00 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
0.5 of 100
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
Thursday

Thursday: Snow Showers Likely then Mostly Cloudy
Snow Showers Likely then Mostly Cloudy
Hi 21 °F Lo 10 °F Hi 22 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 0.7°F since last hour. 14.4°F
Last Hour: Decreased 0.7°F since last hour. 0.7°F
High 12:01 PM: 17.0°F
Low 7:51 AM: 5.4°F
Record High: 82.4°F on
Jun-19-2024
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 20.1°F
Rain Today: 0.00 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.05 in
Feb Rain: 0.05 in
Feb to Date
  Average:10
0.13 in
Feb to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Under 0.08 in for the month 0.08 in
Feb Avg: 1.44 in
+/- from Avg: Under 1.385 in for the month 1.39 in
2025 Total: 1.53 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
1.89 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Under 0.36 in for the year 0.36 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Feb-1-2026
at 1:40 PM
9 rain days in 2026
1 day in February
2 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: WNW  4.7 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 4.2 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 5.1 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 4.4 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 4.9 mph
Todays Wind Run: 56.68 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 3.0 mph
High Last Hour: 11.0 mph NW
Todays High: 13.0 mph 10:41 AM
February High: 20.0 mph Feb-3
2025 High: 39.1 mph Jan-9
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
10 hrs 4 min
49 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 29 sec longer than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waning Gibbous
Waning Gibbous, 17 days, 1 hours, 39 minutes in cycle
91%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 15.0°F
Humidity: Decreased 1% since last hour. 72%
Last Hour +/-: Decreased 1% since last hour. 1%
High 8:44 AM: 92%
Low 3:39 PM: 71%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Falling 0.2  mb/hr 1025.9 mb
Last Hour: Steady
High 10:43 AM: 1027.8
Low 12:00 AM: 1022.7
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 33.5
Feb: 181.1
2026 to Date: 1504.0
Cooling Degree Days
2026 to Date: 0.0
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Feb Snow: Under 0.984 in for the month 0.00 in
Feb Avg: 0.98 in
Diff from Avg: -0.98 in
Season Total:2 17.30 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in February
3 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 15.8°F
Low 6:32 AM: 3.9°F
Yesterday: 4.8°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

34


Good
Density:
1.33 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Feb-04

1.3
Feb-05

1.4
Feb-06

1.4
Sunrise is at: 7:26 am
Solar Noon: 12:28
Sunset is at: 5:31 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 21.6°F
Sunrise: 7:26 am
Sunset: 5:31 pm
Moonrise: 7:51 pm
Moonset: 8:46 am
Full Moon: Feb-01-2026
New Moon: 12:02 UTC
Feb-17-2026
Cloud Height: 2356 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.1°F
Jul-08-2020
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:0 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 4 of just the month of February for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 4 of Februaryfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook This Afternoon & Tonight
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 21 °F
NWS forecast: Mostly sunny, with a high near 21. West wind around 10 mph. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely

Lo 10 °F
NWS forecast: Snow showers likely after 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. West wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Thursday

Thursday: Snow Showers Likely then Mostly Cloudy
Snow Showers Likely then Mostly Cloudy
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
Snow Showers Likely And Patchy Blowing Snow
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Snow Showers And Patchy Blowing Snow
Chance Snow Showers And Patchy Blowing Snow
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Sunday

Sunday: Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Chance Snow Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Hi 22 °F Lo 12 °F Hi 26 °F Lo 1 °F Hi 8 °F Lo 0 °F Hi 14 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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