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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
075 FXUS61 KBUF 151738 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 138 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Added a
low chance of showers south of Lake Ontario this afternoon and early
evening with a southward moving cold front.  Lowered temperatures Thursday
due to the trajectory of Canadian wildfire smoke. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


No Weather Records Have Been Established For This Station Today as of 07/15/2026 3:50pm
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 3:50pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

77.3°F

Trend:Warmer 0.2°F than last hour. /hr
Heat Index   79°F
Humidex   89.6°F
24 Hour +/- -10.1°FColder 10.1°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
82.6°F
10:10 AM
Today Low
73.5°F
6:11 AM
Yest.High
89.2°F
2:44 PM
Yest.Low
71.5°F
2:32 AM
Last Year High
93.4°F
Last Year Low
70.4°F
Station Record High*
93.4°F
2025
Station Record Low*
53.2°F
2022
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
overcast -  smoke overcast - smoke

Wind from NW NW  
1.3
Gusting to:
1.0
Light Air
Current Rain Total Rainfall Today:
0.00 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
5.1 of 100
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Smoke
Smoke
Tonight

Tonight: Smoke
Smoke
Thursday

Thursday: Smoke
Smoke
Hi 84 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 85 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Increased 0.1°F since last hour. 66.3°F
Last Hour: Increased 0.1°F since last hour. 0.1°F
High 8:47 AM: 75.9°F
Low 3:07 PM: 65.4°F
Record High: 83.5°F on
Jul-1-2026
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 70.2°F
Today: 0.00 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.25 in
Jul Rain: 0.49 in
Jul to Date
  Average:10
1.31 in
Jul to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Under 0.82 in for the month 0.82 in
Jul Avg: 3.73 in
+/- from Avg: Under 3.245 in for the month 3.25 in
2025 Total: 23.44 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
17.16 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Over 6.28 in for the year 6.28 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Jul-10-2026
at 6:24 AM
105 rain days in 2026
6 days in July
4 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: NW  1.3 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 2.1 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 1.9 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 1.7 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 1.1 mph
Todays Wind Run: 24.86 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 1.0 mph
High Last Hour: 6.0 mph NNW
Todays High: 11.5 mph 12:28 AM
July High: 32.0 mph Jul-9
2025 High: 43.0 mph Mar-14
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
15 hrs 3 min
27 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
1 min 30 sec shorter than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waxing Crescent
Waxing Crescent, 1 days, 10 hours, 7 minutes in cycle
2%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 89.6°F
Humidity: No Change 69%
Last Hour +/-: No Change 0%
High 5:33 AM: 95%
Low 2:30 PM: 67%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Rising 0.1  mb/hr 1013.3 mb
Last Hour: Steady
High 1:32 PM: 1013.9
Low 3:24 AM: 1011.9
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Cooling Degree Days Snow3 Heat Index Air
Today: 7.6
Jul: 152.9
2026 to Date: 301.3
Heating Degree Days
2026 to Date: 4114.0
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Jul Snow: No Change 0.00 in
Jul Avg: 0.00 in
Diff from Avg: 0.00 in
Season Total:2 0.00 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in July
0 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 79.1°F
High 10:10am: 89.4°F
Yesterday: 103.6°F
Record: 116.6°F
Jun-24-2025
Quality
Index6:

153


Unhealthy
Density:
1.17 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Jul-15

9.0
Jul-16

8.7
Jul-17

8.4
Sunrise is at: 5:48 am
Solar Noon: 13:20
Sunset is at: 8:52 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 45.5°F
Sunrise: 5:48 am
Sunset: 8:52 pm
Moonrise: 7:02 am
Moonset: 9:23 pm
Full Moon: Jul-29-2026
New Moon: 17:37 UTC
Aug-12-2026
Cloud Height: 3114 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.3°F
Jul-01-2026
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:18 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Smoke
Smoke
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 15 of just the month of July for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 15 of Julyfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook This Afternoon & Tonight
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Smoke
Smoke

Hi 84 °F
NWS forecast: Smoke. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. North wind 0 to 6 mph.
Tonight

Tonight: Smoke
Smoke

Lo 69 °F
NWS forecast: Smoke and a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Thursday

Thursday: Smoke
Smoke
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Smoke
Smoke
Friday

Friday: Areas Of Smoke then Mostly Sunny
Areas Of Smoke then Mostly Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And T-Storms
Saturday

Saturday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And T-Storms
Sunday

Sunday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Hi 85 °F Lo 65 °F Hi 85 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 85 °F Lo 65 °F Hi 81 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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