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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
754 FXUS61 KBUF 152353 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 753 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Minor
changes to the forecast with this update. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


No Weather Records Have Been Established For This Station Today as of 10/15/2026 9:53pm
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 9:53pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

51.3°F

Trend:Warmer 0.9°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   51°F
Humidex   52.1°F
24 Hour +/- -3.8°FColder 3.8°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
57.2°F
3:31 PM
Today Low
50.0°F
8:00 PM
Yest.High
66.9°F
12:00 AM
Yest.Low
51.8°F
11:59 PM
Last Year High
57.4°F
Last Year Low
40.2°F
Station Record High*
77.2°F
2017
Station Record Low*
32.9°F
2019
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Overcast Overcast

Wind from SE SE  
2.9
Gusting to:
5.0
Light Air
Current Rain Total Rainfall Today:
0.00 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-0.7 of 100
Tonight

Tonight: Rain
Rain
Friday

Friday: Rain
Rain
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain
Lo 51 °F Hi 68 °F Lo 36 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Increased 0.6°F since last hour. 46.6°F
Last Hour: Increased 0.6°F since last hour. 0.6°F
High 3:31 PM: 49.0°F
Low 10:37 AM: 44.8°F
Record High: 83.5°F on
Jul-1-2026
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 49.0°F
Today: 0.00 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.17 in
Oct Rain: 1.92 in
Oct to Date
  Average:10
1.82 in
Oct to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Over 0.1 in for the month 0.10 in
Oct Avg: 4.20 in
+/- from Avg: Under 2.28 in for the month 2.28 in
2025 Total: 42.55 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
28.07 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Over 14.48 in for the year 14.48 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Oct-13-2026
at 6:44 AM
147 rain days in 2026
8 days in October
1 day since last rain

rain graph

Current: SE  2.9 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 5.0 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 5.1 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 4.9 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 4.4 mph
Todays Wind Run: 83.41 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 5.0 mph
High Last Hour: 13.0 mph SE
Todays High: 15.0 mph 10:14 AM
October High: 33.0 mph Oct-7
2025 High: 43.0 mph Mar-14
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
11 hrs 3 min
31 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 51 sec shorter than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waxing Crescent
Waxing Crescent, 5 days, 10 hours, 3 minutes in cycle
26%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 52.1°F
Humidity: Decreased 1% since last hour. 84%
Last Hour +/-: Decreased 1% since last hour. 1%
High 12:27 AM: 88%
Low 2:50 PM: 72%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Falling 2.1  mb/hr 1012.6 mb
Last Hour: Falling
High 7:53 AM: 1024.7
Low 9:50 PM: 1012.5
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 12.1
Oct: 125.0
2026 to Date: 4347.8
Cooling Degree Days
2026 to Date: 616.8
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Oct Snow: No Change 0.00 in
Oct Avg: 0.00 in
Diff from Avg: 0.00 in
Season Total:2 0.00 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in October
0 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 51.2°F
Low 8:08 PM: 47.3°F
Yesterday: 51.8°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

27


Good
Density:
1.24 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Oct-15

4.0
Oct-16

4.0
Oct-17

3.0
Sunrise is at: 7:29 am
Solar Noon: 13:00
Sunset is at: 6:30 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Evening
YTD Avg Temp: 52.0°F
Sunrise: 7:29 am
Sunset: 6:30 pm
Moonrise: 1:42 pm
Moonset: 9:03 pm
Full Moon: Oct-26-2026
New Moon: 07:03 UTC
Nov-9-2026
Cloud Height: 1673 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.2°F
Jul-01-2026
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:13 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Friday

Friday: Rain
Rain
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 15 of just the month of October for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 15 of Octoberfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook Tonight & Friday
Tonight

Tonight: Rain
Rain

Lo 51 °F
NWS forecast: Rain likely between 10pm and 2am, then rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy. Low around 51, with temperatures rising to around 64 overnight. Southeast wind 8 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday

Friday: Rain
Rain

Hi 68 °F
NWS forecast: Rain. Cloudy. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. West wind 17 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Lo 36 °F Hi 48 °F Lo 36 °F Hi 60 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 65 °F Lo 41 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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