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WESTERN NEW YORK FORECAST SUMMARY Forecast Discussion for BUF NWS Office
423 FXUS61 KBUF 201838 AFDBUF  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Buffalo NY 138 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026  .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Wind
gusts increased further across the Niagara Frontier this afternoon through
this evening. A Wind Advisory has been issued for this afternoon and
evening across portions of Western NY.  Slightly decreased chances for
precipitation across parts of the North Country Sunday into Sunday night. 
Added chances for snow Monday night through Tuesday to account for
potential lake enhancement in a northwest flow regime. 

NWS BUF Office Area Forecast Discussion


Todays low barometer of 993.8 mb broke the yearly low of 994.3 mb set on 01/15/2026 by -0.5 mb
Todays high dew point of 41.5°F broke the monthly high of 38.7°F set on 02/17/2026 by 2.8°
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METRIC | IMPERIAL
Weather Conditions Updated: @ 4:16pm  
Temperature Conditions/Real Time Wind Speed 36 Hour Forecast/WNY Expected Snowfall
Currently:

39.6°F

Trend:Colder 2.6°F than last hour. /hr
Wind Chill   33°F
Humidex   36.0°F
24 Hour +/- 5.6°FWarmer 5.6°F than yesterday at this time.
---
Today High
42.8°F
2:57 PM
Today Low
35.2°F
12:00 AM
Yest.High
36.1°F
12:56 PM
Yest.Low
28.3°F
12:08 AM
Last Year High
18.2°F
Last Year Low
14.6°F
Station Record High*
66.4°F
2018
Station Record Low*
-8.0°F
2015
* This Station's Records Since 1/2010
Overcast Overcast

Wind from NW NW  
11.0
Gusting to:
9.0
Gentle Breeze
Current Rain Total Rainfall Today:
0.14 in
Chandler Burning Index: LOW Current CBI
Fire Danger:
-0.1 of 100
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Rain
Light Rain
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
Saturday

Saturday: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
Hi 46 °F Lo 31 °F Hi 34 °F
WNY Expected Snowfall
 In New Tab
Dew Point Rainfall Rainfall Wind Sock Wind Sun/Moon
Current: Decreased 5.1°F since last hour. 33.3°F
Last Hour: Decreased 5.1°F since last hour. 5.1°F
High 2:13 PM: 41.6°F
Low 4:15 PM: 33.3°F
Record High: 82.4°F on
Jun-19-2024
Record Low: -24.5°F on
Jan-24-2011
Wetbulb: 37.2°F
Today: 0.14 in
Storm Rain: 0.14 in
Last 24 Hours: 0.14 in
Yesterday: 0.01 in
Previous 7 Days: 0.67 in
Feb Rain: 0.97 in
Feb to Date
  Average:10
0.74 in
Feb to Date
  +/- from Avg:10
Over 0.23 in for the month 0.23 in
Feb Avg: 1.44 in
+/- from Avg: Under 0.465 in for the month 0.47 in
2025 Total: 2.45 in
Year To Date
  Average:11
2.50 in
Year To Date
  +/- from Avg:11
Under 0.05 in for the year 0.05 in
Last Rain
Time/Date:
Feb-20-2026
at 2:33 PM
16 rain days in 2026
9 days in February
0 straight days without rain

rain graph

Current: NW  11.0 mph
Last 15 Min. Avg: 11.3 mph
Last 30 Min. Avg: 11.4 mph
Last 1 Hour Avg: 10.2 mph
Last 2 Hour Avg: 9.1 mph
Todays Wind Run: 92.56 miles
Wind Sock Wind Gust
Current: 9.0 mph
High Last Hour: 29.0 mph NW
Todays High: 29.0 mph 3:29 PM
February High: 33.0 mph Feb-6
2025 High: 39.1 mph Jan-9
Record Gust: 62.6 mph
Dec-25-2014
Sunlight:
10 hrs 47 min
49 sec
of Sunlight Today
Which is
2 min 50 sec longer than
yesterday
(Noon) graph (Midnight)

Waxing Crescent
Waxing Crescent, 3 days, 9 hours, 15 minutes in cycle
14%
Illuminated
HumidityHumidity/Feels Like barometerBarometer
Feels Like: 36.0°F
Humidity: Decreased 8% since last hour. 78%
Last Hour +/-: Decreased 8% since last hour. 8%
High 12:00 AM: 98%
Low 3:38 PM: 78%
Record High: 100%
Sep-4-2018
Record Low: 16%
May-10-2022
Current: Rising 1.6  mb/hr 998.8 mb
Last Hour: Rising
High 12:00 AM: 1009.1
Low 1:12 PM: 993.8
Record High: 1048.1 mb
Dec-14-2024
Record Low: 978.7 mb
Jan-10-2024
Heating Degree Days Snow3 Wind Chill Air
Today: 18.9
Feb: 843.9
2026 to Date: 2165.8
Cooling Degree Days
2026 to Date: 0.0
Today: 0.00 in
Yesterday: 0.00 in
Feb Snow: Under 0.984 in for the month 0.00 in
Feb Avg: 0.98 in
Diff from Avg: -0.98 in
Season Total:2 17.30 in
Snow Depth: 0.00 in
0 snow days in February
3 snow days this season.2
First Snow of Season:
--
Average 1st Snow:
Current: 32.7°F
Low 1:52 AM: 29.4°F
Yesterday: 17.9°F
Record: -26.3°F
Feb-20-2015
Quality
Index6:

36


Good
Density:
1.25 kg/m3
UV Summary/Forecast Solar Summary
Feb-20

2.1
Feb-21

2.1
Feb-22

2.0
Sunrise is at: 7:04 am
Solar Noon: 12:28
Sunset is at: 5:52 pm
Almanac Cloud Height Station All Time Records Outlook
Currently: Afternoon
YTD Avg Temp: 22.2°F
Sunrise: 7:04 am
Sunset: 5:52 pm
Moonrise: 8:21 am
Moonset: 8:29 pm
Full Moon: Mar-03-2026
New Moon: 01:24 UTC
Mar-19-2026
Cloud Height: 2045 ft
HIGHS: LOWS:
97.7°F
Jul-10-2020
-18.9°F
Jan-24-2011
Daytime Records
  95.5°F
Jul-10-2020
  -1.1°F
Feb-15-2015
Nitetime Records
  80.1°F
Jul-08-2020
  -11.4°F
Jan-24-2014
ICN:18 | S3C2:1 | Ajax 3.xx
ISS:Ok |
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
1 .   2 Snow season July 1st to June 30th.   3 Snow is manually measured a few times a day as needed 0.01 = a trace .   6 Air Quality Index is provided by Minnesota Polution Control Agency and is updated between the hours of 6AM and Midnight.   10 Historical average only to day 20 of just the month of February for this station since 2010.   11 Historical average rain this season to day 20 of Februaryfor this station since 2010.
 NWS Weather Forecast  -   Outlook This Afternoon & Tonight
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Light Rain
Light Rain

Hi 46 °F
NWS forecast: Rain and a chance of thunderstorms before 4pm, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. High near 46, with temperatures falling to around 38 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 23 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight

Tonight: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely

Lo 31 °F
NWS forecast: A chance of rain before 7pm, then snow showers likely between 7pm and 11pm, then rain and snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Southwest wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 46 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
 NWS Short Term Weather Forecast
Saturday

Saturday: Snow Showers Likely
Snow Showers Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Sunday

Sunday: Chance Snow Showers then Light Snow
Chance Snow Showers then Light Snow
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Light Snow Likely
Light Snow Likely
Monday

Monday: Light Snow Likely then Snow Showers Likely
Light Snow Likely then Snow Showers Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: Chance Snow Showers
Chance Snow Showers
Hi 34 °F Lo 27 °F Hi 34 °F Lo 28 °F Hi 32 °F Lo 12 °F Hi 23 °F
Version 6.95b - 03-Apr-2019 - Script by: Scott of BurnsvilleWeatherLIVE.com
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